Market Commentary 7/01/2022

Market Commentary 7/01/2022

We expect stocks to rally from current levels. It is too soon to tell whether the rally will stick for more than a few percentage points but a meaningful low in stock prices is near. We still see a chance that stocks could put in a new low for the year but the...
Market Commentary 06/26/2022

Market Commentary 06/26/2022

“Never miss out on an opportunity like a good recession.” – Jack Welch “I’ve heard there’s going to be a recession. I’ve decided not to participate.” – Walt Disney The recession is upon us. We have revised our view that the recession would be a 2023 story and believe...
Market Commentary 6/15/2022

Market Commentary 6/15/2022

“There are no solutions. There are only trade-offs.” -Thomas Sowell “Goldilocks went upstairs. She lay down on the big bed and said, ‘This bed is too hard!’ She lay on the medium bed and said, ‘This bed is too soft!’ She lay down on the small...
Market Commentary 5/12/2022

Market Commentary 5/12/2022

These are times that make investing scary. Investors begin to question whether stocks will ever stop going lower. They fear that inflation is back and therefore corporate profits will evaporate. One half of the population fears the President and his policies. The...
Market Commentary 5/05/2022

Market Commentary 5/05/2022

Thoughts on Today’s Selloff The S&P 500® Index (“SPX”) was down over 4% at the lows today. This follows a day that saw stocks rally by 3%. To be sure, these are extreme levels of volatility, but I am more amazed by the hysteria whipped up in the business media....
Market Commentary 3/06/2022

Market Commentary 3/06/2022

Expect stocks to trough when fear peaks. Conversely, expect stocks to peak when fear troughs. This axiom speaks to why successful investing in stocks is difficult. It runs contrary to our instincts as humans. We are wired to raise our defenses under a threat of danger...